Is The Reward Worth The Risk In Golf

Every round of golf provides us with the opportunity to make decisions. Most are benign and are made without any real thought. Others create the perfect storm situations where a high number could end up on our scorecard. During yesterday’s round I was faced with this exact decision and decided to turn it into a teaching moment. The sum of my discovery boils down to the challenge of: is the reward worth the risk for certain golf shots.

Every player will respond, well that depends. And of course that is correct. The situation I was faced with was my third shot on a par five.

On the longish par 5, 8th hole at Mattawa Golf and Ski Resort I hit my second shot short and behind the trees guarding the green. As you can see from the picture below, the green was completely block from hitting a wedge. The smart play was to hit left of the red circle and try to catch a bit of the green without interference from the trees.

As I was only three over at the time, I had to decide if the risk of hitting through the red circle was worth the reward of saving par. Well, I decided to take the risk. This was a very low percentage shot and knew I had the risk of a double or more if I the results were against me.

My ball was 20 yards from the trees and the trees were 15 yards from the edge of the green. The branches in the trees were about 9 feet high, so there was plenty of room if I hit down on the ball. The challenge was to select the club that allow my ball to travel the distance to get through the red circle (which was about 10 feet wide), land short of the green and roll up into a possible putt for birdie.

The grass around my ball was a bit long and posed a challenge of hitting down on the ball. I ultimately decided to hit a 7 iron (over my 6 iron) because it would provide enough loft to sail through the opening, but not high enough to hit the trees.

My first shot landed short and hit the tree on the right. It finished between the gap allowing for a simple next shot. Looking at the gap, I had a Tin Cup moment and decided to try the shot until I was successful.

My second shot popped up into the branches. My third shot hit the left tree and careened to the right behind a tree. My fourth shot was successful. I landed just past the trees, watched it bounce twice and roll up to 30 feet from the pin. What I did learn was to play the ball farther back in my stance than I first thought; a great lesson learned.

As a result of my first shot, I was able to hit the ball onto the green about 10 feet away leaving a solid chance at birdie. As it turned out, I missed the putt and walked off with a bogey. Surprisingly, I sank the 30 foot putt for birdie (my fourth shot) and only laughed at the results.

Realistically, in a stroke tournament, I would never try this shot. I would have played the safe shot to the left. The reason is that I would have left an easier shot with a better chance at making par. In the case above, the reward was not worth the risk because the potential for a very high number was greater than making a birdie. Of course in a match play, I would have tried the shot because I would only lose one hole at worse.

On a side note, I finished with a four over 78. It was my best round of the year. I am finally feeling like my game is working its way back.

Next time you are faced with a risk/reward shot, it is important to ask yourself if the reward is actually worth the risk. Only you can answer that question.

I am a grateful golfer! See you on the links!

2 thoughts on “Is The Reward Worth The Risk In Golf

  1. Some tough choices you were left with. Going between wouldn’t have been my first choice. Or my second. lol Good job getting it done.

    You say 20 yards to the trees and 15 to greens edge and 9 feet elevation. You don’t say how tall those trees are. I might be able to clear them. I’d be thinking maybe 50 yards distance and hitting with the face of my 56 degree to be more like a 64 degree. Not quite wide open but getting close. A full swing speed ought to just reach it. So it’s only a question of is that enough loft.

    Option two for me would be the better one in truth. I may love hitting those long lob shots, but full swings with open faces leave little room for error and getting it wrong leads to disasters. So I be wanting to slice my way around the trees with a wedge.

    The balls sitting down so I’d club up. Take the gap wedge (50 degree), I have the ball in the front of my stance, weight well favoring the lead side, and my aim point would be somewhere close to 10-15 degrees left of the left most of the trees in the way while I’d be holding the club with the face just a couple degrees left of the trees. And I’d swing through towards where I’m aiming.

    I’d be sure and give it all it needed to get up in the air and that should give it all the side spin needed to bend back towards the hole. From the picture that seems more than doable. Fairly straightforward and safe. The worst I’d expect from a good swing is maybe not enough bend and landing left of the green a bit.

    The picture doesn’t make bending it around the other way look nearly as inviting. And if faced with going through or around that way, I’d probably pick a tree and aim for it and figure I ought to be just bad enough for that to work. lol I’d be praying for sure. And really happy if I got the same result you did. Shoot, going through is enough to make me happy facing that shot. 😂

    Liked by 1 person

    • Kevin,

      Lots to unpack in your comment. I love your approach. The gap was 20 yards away but the first tree was only about 5 yards. The trees are a good 80 feet high. Going over is never the option, not even from farther back. There really was no great option, left was the safest. Regardless, like you, it gave me lots to think about.

      Cheers Jim

      Like

Leave a reply to The Grateful Golfer Cancel reply